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Wed 7:00 PM ET
BALL
MASS58%
Wed 7:00 PM ET
TOL90%
Sacramento State
Wed 7:30 PM ET
CMU52%
EMU
Thu 7:30 PM ET
UTSA75%
FAU
Thu 8:00 PM ET
JMU83%
USM
Fri 7:00 PM ETESPN
VT
SMU72%
Fri 7:30 PM ETESPN2
USF58%
ECU
Fri 8:00 PM ETFOX
23NEB68%
ILL
Fri 9:00 PM ETCBSSN
UNM75%
NEV
Fri 10:15 PM ETESPN
TCU
21ARIZ76%
Sat 12:00 PM ET
CLEM65%
SYR
Sat 12:00 PM ET
24UCLA70%
MINN

Every fan has a bias.

Check
your bias.

The matchups. The numbers. The takes worth checking. See Saturday from every side.

Explore this week

Pick your team for your next matchup and scouting report.

A model with a public track record

This Saturday

Week 10 · 2026

A matchup to watch

The poll has picked a favorite.

Kentucky

Tennessee

Sat, Nov 7, 6:15 PM ET

Neyland Stadium

View scouting report

Check your bias

How likely is a Kentucky win?

Your estimate

0% · No chance100% · Certain

Tailor your Saturday.

Choose your team for your next matchup, scouting report, and weekly insights.

Week 10 · November 7, 2026

This week's
bias checks.

Big claims. Old rivalries. A few numbers that might change your mind.

Before kickoff, check the matchup.

Full scoreboard

Upset watch

The poll and model disagree.

Kentucky

Tennessee

Sat, Nov 7, 6:15 PM ET

70%

Model win probability for Tennessee

1 mark = 1 percentage point of model probability

AP poll: Kentucky #8 · Tennessee #16

The poll ranks Kentucky higher; the model favors Tennessee.

Ranked showdown

Two top-10 teams.

Miami

Notre Dame

Sat, Nov 7, 7:30 PM ET

Both inside the model's top 10.

Our model

In the trenches

UAB brings the size.

Charlotte

UAB

Sat, Nov 7, 3:30 PM ET

+54.5lb per player

UAB OL roster vs. Charlotte DL roster, average weight per player

This matchup54.5 lb

Typical FBS gap31.7 lb

0Weight gap · lb per player75

22.8 lb above the typical FBS gap.

Roster averages, not starters. Size is one part of a matchup, not a result.

Typical FBS gap: one team's OL roster average minus another team's DL roster average, averaged across every pairing of FBS teams.

Visual rankings

View all rankings

Change the question. See who rises.

Strength of record: the chance that the SBR #25 team would match or beat this record against this schedule. #1 = hardest record to match.

SBR sbr-2r · strength of record

National positions · 2026

Entering week 10

Oregon: #11 in our model. Unranked in the AP poll.Poll vs. model · 2026, entering week 10

SBR sbr-2r · how the numbers are doing

Retrospective · games already played

Stats you didn't know you wanted

View all stats

This means nothing. We checked.

Each stat below is drawn against the number it would show if nothing were going on. Most of them land on it.

2021 → present

The coin toss

47.7%2,209 of 4,632

Toss winners went on to win the game

Nothing would be 50%·2.3 points below

2021 → present

First to punt

36.7%1,724 of 4,696

The first team to punt went on to win the game

Nothing would be 50%·13.3 points below

2022 → present

Which way they ran

Left20.9%53,757

Middle58.5%150,645

Right20.7%53,210

Every rush we could read, left to right

257,612 rushes

2023 → present

Where the quarterback threw

53.7%

Jayden de Laura · Arizona

Top of the board, by left share

Nothing would be 33.3%

123 directed passes

Build a comparison

Program against program, 2026 season.

Left team

Right team

Passer spotlight

2023 → present

Noah Kim · Eastern Michigan · QB

40.5%87 of 215

Threw right 40.5% of the time. An even split would say 33%.

Nothing would be 33.3%·7.1 points above

153-249, 1,464 yds, 9 TD-4 INT through week 6 of 2026.

Left34.4%74

Middle25.1%54

Right40.5%87

215 passes with a direction, 2026.

Featured passers threw at least 200 passes with a direction in one season.

See every passer

Check your bias.